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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Generation. Traditionally, most of
AES's generation plants have sold electricity under long-term
power sales agreements to electric utilities or state-owned
power companies. Generated electricity is sold under a two
part pricing method, representing the two main products, capacity
and energy, produced by electric generating facilities. Energy
refers to the sale of the actual electricity produced by the
plant and capacity refers to the amount of generation reserved
for a particular customer, irrespective of the amount of energy
actually purchased. Most of the Company's generating businesses
(based upon revenues) are structured so that each power plant
generally relies on one power sales contract with a single
electric customer for the majority, if not all, of its revenues.
The prolonged failure of any significant customer to fulfill
its contractual payment obligations in the future could have
a substantial negative impact on AES's results of operations.
The Company has sought to reduce this risk, where possible,
by entering into power sales contracts with customers who
have their debt or preferred securities rated "investment
grade", or by obtaining sovereign government guarantees of
the purchaser's obligations, as well as by locating its plants
in different geographic areas in order to mitigate the effects
of regional economic downturns.
However,
AES does not limit its business solely to the most developed
countries or economies, nor even to those countries with investment
grade sovereign credit ratings. In certain locations, particularly
in developing countries or countries that are in a transition
from centrally-planned to market-oriented economies, the electricity
purchasers, both wholesale and retail, may be unable or unwilling
to honor their payment obligations. Moreover collection of
receivables may be hindered in these countries due to ineffective
systems for adjudicating contract disputes.
At
some generation plants, all or a portion of the electricity
sales are not sold pursuant to a long-term contract and are
sold into the short-term contract or spot electricity markets.
The prices paid for electricity in the spot markets can be,
and from time to time, have been unpredictable and volatile.
Electricity price volatility often exists in those regions
in the United States and other parts of the world that are
introducing competitive energy markets and where periods of
temporary shortage of or excess supply of electricity occur.
This volatility is influenced by peak demand requirements,
weather conditions, competition, electricity transmission
constraints and fuel prices, as well as plant availability
and other relevant factors. The majority of the electricity
generated at the New York plants and a significant portion
of the Drax plant and the generation businesses in Argentina
is sold into power pools or under short-term contracts (or
in case of the Drax plant subject to the provisions of contractual
instruments that have the effect of
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price volatility). As a result, the sales revenues (consisting
of both volume and price considerations) from these businesses
are less predictable and subject to potentially greater variability
from period to period than those businesses selling under long-term
sales contracts.
Distribution. In the United States,
the Company participates in certain competitive retail electricity
supply markets, where state laws permit, by selling electricity
to end users. In these markets, the Company typically enters
into one to three year electricity supply contracts with its
customers. These contracts may be structured as shared savings
arrangements, fixed savings arrangements or fixed price supply
contracts. In certain of its fixed savings arrangements and
fixed price supply contracts, the cost to supply electricity
to the customer may be greater than the price the customer
is required to pay the Company. The Company also engages in
wholesale purchases and sales of electricity to support its
electricity sales to end users. AES also owns and operates
an integrated distribution company, CILCORP, that serves approximately
193,000 electric and 202,000 gas customers in Central Illinois
under existing state regulatory provisions that provide for
the transition to a competitive market. Under these provisions,
CILCORP's return on equity is subject to regulation by the
Illinois state regulatory authorities.
Outside
of the United States, retail electricity sales by AES's distribution
businesses are made pursuant to provisions of long-term electricity
sales concession agreements ranging in remaining length from
17 to 92 years. Each business is generally authorized to charge
its customers a tariff for electric services that consists
of two components: an energy expense pass-through component
and an operating cost component. Both components are established
as part of the original grant of the con- cession for certain
initial periods (ranging from four to eight years remaining).
Beginning subsequent to the initial periods, and at regular
intervals thereafter, the concession grantor has the authority
to review the costs of the relevant business to determine
the inflation adjustment (or other similar adjustment factor),
if any, to the operating cost component (the "Adjustment Escalator")
for the subsequent regular interval. This review can result
in an Adjustment Escalator that has a positive, zero or negative
value. This electricity market structure is often referred
to as "price-cap" regulation, because the investors rate of
return on its equity is not directly subject to regulation.
To date, the Company has not reached the end of the initial
tariff periods in any of its distribution businesses. As a
result, there can be no assurance as to the effects, if any,
on its future
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