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interest
earning assets (liabilities) remaining negative through
the three-year time horizon. The Company being liability
sensitive would indicate that an increase in interest
rates would have a negative impact on future net interest
income.
Another approach used by
management to analyze interest rate risk is to periodically
evaluate the “shock” to the base 12 month projected net
interest income of an assumed instantaneous decrease and
increase in rates of 1% and 2% using computer simulation.
Table 15 shows this analysis at December 31, 2005 and
December 31, 2004. The computer simulation model used
to do the interest rate shocks and calculate the effect
on projected net interest income takes into consideration
maturity and repricing schedules of the various assets
and liabilities as well as call provisions on the Company’s
securities. Current policy set by the Board of Directors
limits exposure to net interest income from interest rate
shocks of plus or minus 2% to plus or minus 10% of the
base projected 12 month net interest income.
At December 31, 2005 the
forecasted 2006 net interest |
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income
decreases $1,062,000 when rates are shocked upwards 2%
while net interest income increases $758,000 for a 2%
downward rate shock. This is indicated by the negative
gap position that the Company is in at year-end 2005.
Several ways the Company
can manage interest rate risk include: selling existing
assets or repaying certain liabilities and matching repricing
periods for new assets and liabilities, for example, by
shortening terms of new loans or securities. At present,
the maturity terms of securities can only be shortened
by selling the securities at a loss. In 2007 a majority
of the Company’s investment securities portfolio matures
and the Company has the opportunity at that time to restructure
its securities portfolio to decrease the negative gap
position it currently possesses. Financial institutions
are also subject to prepayment risk in a falling rate
environment. For example, a debtor may prepay financial
assets so that the debtor may refinance obligations at
new, lower rates. Prepayments of assets carrying higher
rates reduce the Company’s interest income and overall
asset yields. |
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