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OUTLOOK
We believe that the following factors will
contribute to net sales growth in 2006:
- sales from acquired service centers, including
Horizon;
- expansion of our existing service centers
through continued execution of our sales, marketing and service
programs;
- the anticipated opening of 6 to 10 new
service centers in 2006;
- continued growth of the installed base
of swimming pools;
- growth in complementary product sales;
and
- expected product price increases passed
through the supply chain.
We believe that complementary products will
continue to grow at a faster rate than our overall sales growth,
with an acceleration of the complementary products growth rate in
the first three quarters of 2006, compared to the same period in
2005, due to the addition of Horizon’s products to our complementary
product offerings. Including Horizon’s sales, complementary products
should comprise approximately 20% of net sales for the full year
2006.
We expect to continue to increase our focus
on supply chain management initiatives, including expansion of international
sourcing and private label opportunities, particularly where margin
expansion opportunities exist. We also plan to make further advances
in working capital management to achieve continued operational improvements
in 2006 and beyond.
We expect a positive contribution from equity
earnings from our investment in LAC in 2006. LAC’s business is highly
seasonal and more heavily weighted to northern markets, with the
first and fourth quarters being the slowest parts of the year and
the second and third quarters being the busiest.
We plan to use the modified-retrospective
transition method under SFAS 123(R), Share-Based Payment.
As such, we will adjust prior period financial statements beginning
in the first quarter of 2006 to reflect the impact of stock option
expense for amounts previously reported in our pro-forma footnote
disclosures required by SFAS 123, Accounting for Stock-Based
Compensation. Our 2005 fully diluted earnings per share was
$1.50 as reported, or $1.45 after adjusting for the impact of stock
option expense.We believe that 2006 earnings per share will be in
the range of $1.70 to $1.75 per diluted share, including an expected
$0.06 impact from stock option expensing.
We believe that over the long term, we will
generate sufficient cash flow and have adequate access to capital
to both fund our business objectives and provide a direct return
to our shareholders in the form of dividend payments.
Our business is subject to significant risks,
including weather, competition, general economic conditions and
other risks as detailed in the Risk Factors below.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
We prepare our consolidated financial statements
in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles
(GAAP), which requires management to make estimates and assumptions
that affect reported amounts and related disclosures. Management
identifies critical accounting estimates as:
- those that require the use of assumptions
about matters that are inherently and highly uncertain at the
time the estimates are made; and
- those for which changes in the estimate
or assumptions, or the use of different estimates and assumptions,
could have a material impact on our consolidated results of operations
or financial condition.
Management has discussed the development,
selection and disclosure of our critical accounting estimates with
the Audit Committee of our Board. We believe the following critical
accounting estimates require us to make the most difficult, subjective
or complex judgments.
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